Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.039212 0.045889 0.053246 0.061936 0.071904 0.082964 0.096149
2025-04-13 0.028028 0.036384 0.046467 0.059467 0.075714 0.095274 0.120525
2025-04-20 0.022606 0.032126 0.044552 0.061813 0.084994 0.114851 0.155985
2025-04-27 0.018601 0.028675 0.042781 0.063703 0.093614 0.134436 0.193869
2025-05-04 0.014643 0.024375 0.038926 0.061857 0.096566 0.146483 0.222839
2025-05-11 0.011969 0.021380 0.036317 0.061183 0.100789 0.160444 0.255737
2025-05-18 0.009678 0.018495 0.033308 0.059269 0.102631 0.170795 0.284086
2025-05-25 0.007989 0.016271 0.030945 0.057924 0.104997 0.181935 0.314490
2025-06-01 0.006879 0.014859 0.029706 0.058215 0.109955 0.197523 0.353300
2025-06-08 0.005744 0.013160 0.027646 0.056682 0.111455 0.207359 0.383329
2025-06-15 0.005299 0.012767 0.027970 0.059568 0.121133 0.232018 0.440759
2025-06-22 0.004630 0.011759 0.026911 0.059605 0.125454 0.247531 0.483406
2025-06-29 0.003902 0.010488 0.025142 0.058042 0.126665 0.257780 0.518079
2025-07-06 0.003324 0.009447 0.023692 0.056924 0.128605 0.269567 0.556717
2025-07-13 0.003105 0.009247 0.024086 0.059827 0.139093 0.298717 0.630828
2025-07-20 0.002861 0.008931 0.024154 0.062005 0.148286 0.326138 0.703904
2025-07-27 0.002438 0.008029 0.022663 0.060375 0.149027 0.336586 0.744233
2025-08-03 0.002129 0.007379 0.021683 0.059802 0.152018 0.351878 0.795574
2025-08-10 0.001810 0.006619 0.020279 0.057971 0.151883 0.360508 0.833788
2025-08-17 0.001559 0.006006 0.019157 0.056674 0.152820 0.371473 0.877751
2025-08-24 0.001398 0.005646 0.018673 0.056970 0.157609 0.391300 0.942290
2025-08-31 0.001202 0.005111 0.017587 0.055473 0.157768 0.400680 0.984622
2025-09-07 0.001151 0.005089 0.018036 0.058306 0.169233 0.437007 1.089911